Most founders think investors look at the revenue projections. They do, but only briefly. What they’re really testing is whether your assumptions hold up.
1. Whether your assumptions match reality
Investors compare your projections against your actual history. If you’ve grown 5% a month for a year and your model shows 20% a month from next quarter, you’ll need a very clear reason why.
2. Unit economics by channel
Website, marketplace, and quick commerce sales have very different margins. A blended number hides this. Investors want to see each channel’s contribution margin separately.
3. Your contribution margin layers
Investors usually look at margin in three layers:
- CM1: Revenue minus product cost
- CM2: CM1 minus shipping, packaging, payment fees, and returns
- CM3: CM2 minus marketing
A brand with a healthy CM1 but negative CM3 is buying revenue at a loss.
4. How CAC behaves as you scale
This is the most common red flag. Customer acquisition cost usually rises as you spend more, because you run out of your easiest-to-reach customers.
Illustrative example.
A model assumes CAC stays flat at ₹400 while ad spend goes from ₹5 lakh to ₹25 lakh a month. An experienced investor will immediately ask why a 5x budget wouldn’t push CAC up. A credible model shows CAC rising, for example from ₹400 to ₹550, and still works.
5. Repeat purchase and retention
Investors want cohort data: of the customers who bought in a given month, how many came back, and when? Repeat behaviour tells them whether your brand has real pull.
6. Working capital and inventory
D2C brands often grow into a cash crunch. Investors check whether your model accounts for inventory purchases, supplier payment terms, and marketplace payment delays.
7. Three linked statements
Your P&L, balance sheet, and cash flow statement should connect. If they don’t, your cash projections can’t be trusted.
8. Scenarios
A base case alone isn’t enough. Show a conservative and an optimistic case, so investors see you’ve thought about what happens if things go slower.
9. How the money gets used
Your funding ask should match your model’s cash requirement and tie to specific milestones.
FAQs
How many years should a D2C financial model project?
Usually 3-5 years, with monthly detail for the first 18-24 months.
Do investors care more about growth or profitability?
It depends on the investor and the market, but most now want to see a clear path to positive contribution margin, not just growth.
Can I use a template for my financial model?
Templates are a starting point, but investors quickly spot generic assumptions. The model needs to reflect your actual business.
Download The D2C Founder’s Cash Flow Checklist to check your numbers before investor conversations.
Get the free checklist →Preparing to raise? The Financial Arc builds investor-ready financial models for D2C brands – built from your real numbers and designed to stand up to diligence.
Get in touch